Cavaliers at Raptors Points Per Game:

- April 6th, 2012

In a battle of two teams mixing NBAers with D-Leaguers, the Raptors looked great early and awful late.

The Raptors just have Cleveland’s number, with or without Kyrie Iriving, but, even if you make a team miss 65% of their shots, if you only make 30% of your own – as the Raptors did throughout the second half – you’re not going to win.

Some thoughts:

- DeMar DeRozan seems to have rounded out his game nicely. Not only is he getting to the line more than ever, but he’s also more active defensively – particularly in terms of looking to disrupt or block opponent shots. He told me earlier in the year that he has plenty of energy to score 20 points a night, plus play tough defence and now he’s starting to show it.

- Ed Davis is playing the best basketball of his career. With him, a lot of it is how much does he want it? How hard does he want to play? When he’s engaged and playing his hardest, Davis can be a force. His rebounding has been tremendous of late, he’s blocking shots and also looking a little more comfortable on the block. This is a good development for the Raptors as he either raises his trade value by playing this well, or shows that he might be able to replace Amir Johnson if he is the power forward traded in the off-season (it is extremely unlikely both Davis and Johnson return next year given the logjam at that position).

- I like what I’ve seen from Ben Uzoh a team can do worse than having him as a third point guard. He battles and does a lot of things solidly, including defending. Alan Anderson is showing that he can be a useful end of bench guy as well. Uzoh is fearless, he rebounds better than Andrea Bargnani despite being a foot shorter.

- Bargnani continues to sizzle offensively after slumping badly for a stretch. He’s found his shot and got off to a great start against Cleveland, but like the rest of the Raptors, struggled in the fourth quarter.

- I’ve liked Lester Hudson since he was in college and don’t see why he can’t be a scoring guard in the Earl Boykins role off of somebody’s bench. The guy can play.

- James Johnson didn’t play again. I’ve been in New Orleans, not with the team for the past week so I’m not sure what’s up other than it was an “internal issue.” The chatter has been it was back talk to Dwane Casey, but, again, I’ve been away so not as clued in as usual. Back on the beat on Sunday in Oklahoma City.

Raptors at Sixers Points Per Game and a look at tanking and lottery odds since 1994

- April 5th, 2012

And, we’re back after a Points Per Game break for the Final Four.

“Tank Nation” is freaking out because the Raptors are winning games – three in a row for the first time in several seasons – and while I understand they want the best lottery odds possible, it is also important for the core players who likely will remain (like DeMar DeRozan, Andrea Bargnani and James Johnson) to experience some success and to see that they can win games if they play the way Dwane Casey wants them to. The Raptors badly need a culture chang and ranking near the top in some defensive categories and surpassing last season’s win total is also important.

Plus, as we’ve seen many times, the NBA lottery is the one where finish matters the least. This isn’t the NHL, where teams almost never move around from the set order. We’ve seen Cleveland move up from No. 8 odds last year to get Kyrie Irving, Chicago moved from ninth to get Derrick Rose, Washington moved up from fifth to get John Wall, Portland and Toronto got Oden and Bargnani from fifth and sixth, Houston got Yao from fifth, Jersey got K-Mart from seventh.

Yes, the odds would increase with more losses, but it’s pretty much been a crapshoot since 1994, when they changed the way the lottery was done. (Since 1994)

Worst team – Two wins (granted the wins were LeBron James and Dwight Howard!)

Second-worst – Three wins

Third-worst – Four wins

Fourth-worst – Zero wins

Fifth – Four wins

Sixth – One win

Seventh – One win

Eighth – Zero wins

Ninth – One win (Derrick Rose)

What does that tell us? That anything can happen. That fourth-worst has been an awful spot to be in but fifth-worst has been very lucky. Like with stocks, in probability, past performance is not an indication of future returns, the odds still say the bottom three teams have the best chance of getting Anthony Davis or Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. I’m just saying, don’t freak out, we’ve seen other tams win the lottery enough times to say this winning streak isn’t the end of the world.

- As for the Sixers game, I was there early in the year when Philly demolished the Raptors – by 30 I believe – I think it shows some pride and some heart going back in there and easily handling Philly.

- Nice to see DeRozan distributing the ball (five assists) since passing has been one of the biggest weaknesses in his game since entering the league.

- Bargnani is starting to find his outside touch again. He’s 10-for-24 from downtown over his past five games after a 2-for-19 slump. Interestingly though, at 30% for the season, he’s never shot it worst overall from deep.

- Hard not to be impressed by Alan Anderson. Attention 10-dayers, this is how you do it.

- Has there been one game this year where both Amir Johnson and Ed Davis play well?

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Magic at Raptors Points Per Game:

- March 27th, 2012

Games like Monday’s no-show against Orlando are bound to happen in a long NBA season and it’s actually surprising they haven’t happened more often for these Raptors this season. They came out “flat as pancakes” and, again, that happens. Not an excuse, just a reality.

- So the defence wasn’t there, like at all and against a team that features an unstoppable inside presence in Dwight Howard and the best long-range guy in the league in Ryan Anderson, that’s going to be a problem.

- Toronto’s three-point shooting was one of the lone positives. They made 11 and Gary Forbes busted out of his slump.

- Dwight Howard made life extremely difficult for Andrea Bargnani. Providing some ammo for those who don’t think he deserves his defensive player of the year awards.

- Jerryd Bayless going down again was not a good sign. Sure, more losses mean more ping pong balls, but the Raptors need to make a decision on Bayless this summer and could have been helped by seeing as much of him as possible down the stretch. How do you evaluate Bayless and figure out how much he is worth and whether he is part of the future?  My take is you see if somebody gives the restricted free agent a big offer and if they do, you say good for you and let him go. Bayless has proven that as a starter he is quite good and as a reserve, he is merely mediocre. If he’s not going to be the starter here is he worth the $4.5-$6.5 a season he’ll be seeking a season long-term? No. He’s only worth that money if he proves he can be a valuable reserve (since I doubt they hand him the keys as a starter) which is why this latest injury is such a big deal for Bayless.

- I’ve been tweeting about pizza-gate but the Coles Notes: It’s a joke. It needs to go at all costs. Fans are making themselves look like idiots. Stan Van Gundy had a good laugh about it and he was right. Maybe if it was for a whole pizza, but for a slice? Come on.

Raptors at Bulls Points Per Game: Colangelo playing with fire

- March 25th, 2012

I’m running out of things to say about these Raptors. Just when you think they’ve shown us every possible way to lose a basketball game this season, a new wrinkle comes out.

They hung with the mighty (albeit Rose-less) Bulls again and did it for the whole game this time (unlike Wednesday’s contest) but somehow, someway, again snatched a defeat from the hands of victory. An Andrea Bargnani missed three at the buzzer and an extremely lucky Luol Deng tip-in at the buzzer in overtime after the Raptors played exceptional defence did them in. At some point you realize, this just isn’t Toronto’s season (or maybe it is … every one of these lost opportunities become enhanced opportunities come lottery day).

- We knew coming into the year that Chicago had the best backup frontcourt in the NBA, but nobody really paid much heed to C.J.  Watson. Watson has proved with Derrick Rose out that he is among the best backup point guards in the NBA as well. He was great and carried the Bulls in this one. Sure, he let Jose Calderon light him up at the other end, but Calderon also let Watson light him up.

- It was a good bounce back game from Calderon who played 45 minutes due to the continued absence of Jerryd Bayless.

- Bryan Colangelo is playing with fire not adding any more bodies to a roster that was two-men short before Rasual Butler was waived. The team is way under the cap, Calderon and Bayless and Bargnani have missed significant time this year, yet, Colangelo has declined to add reinforcements in recent weeks. I know Dwane Casey doesn’t want any because they won’t know his systems, but with the grind of this schedule, James Johnson, Calderon and others can’t continue to play this many minutes. They will add a body or two this week, but it should have been done earlier. In a season where wins and losses were paramount ie. starting next season, you can bet a player or two would have been here two weeks ago, or by Friday at the latest. Now with DeMar DeRozan hobbled as well Colangelo is askiing for trouble.

- Major credit to the Raptors for nearly beating the Bulls at the United Center with such a paper-thin lineup. Casey continues to do a masterful job with this group.

 

Knicks at Raptors Points Per Game + why Harrison Barnes shouldn’t be a Raptor

- March 23rd, 2012

Quick thoughts as Raptors show some fight against a Knicks team that punked them earlier in the week.

- Efficient, solid night from DeMar DeRozan. He was doing whatever he wanted before suffering a minor injury. They need more of this out of him. Smarter shot selection.

- Andrea Bargnani had his best game since returning from injury. The threes still aren’t falling and he is getting stripped too often, but his timing appears to be coming back.

- Liked the fight in the team, pushing back, dishing out some hard fouls.

- Balanced effort on the boards was huge against an excellent rebounding team. Gary Forbes stepped up with his best game of the season and he had to with Jerryd Bayless injured and Leandro Barbosa no longer with the team.

- Raptors have some time to add another player to replace Rasual Butler, but it could happen soon. Expect a PG to be the guy.

And some thoughts on Harrison Barnes. The timing looks odd, because Barnes was horrendous on Friday, but loyal readers know I’ve been shaky on the guy for over a year now. There’s always been something or some things about Barnes that scare me. I think he’ll be a better pro than college player, but I think the Raptors should pass on him.

Here are a few reasons why:

(1) Something is missing. It’s hard to quantify, is it will, desire, heart, toughness, competitive fire, basketball IQ, some combination of a bunch of those? Not sure, but he definitely has something missing in the mental or motor departments.

(2) Horrible fit alongside DeMar DeRozan. Sure he’s a good outside shooter which DeRozan is not, but neither can create shots for themselves consistently and are poor dribblers and no NBA team is going to be successful without starting swingmen who can do more than just spot up or finish alley-oops.

(3) Too similar to Bargnani. You are asking for trouble if you build around two cornerstones this passive. The Raptors need an injection of passion and killer instinct. Barnes doesn’t provide that.

The Raptors need game changers. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has that kind of an attitude and can turn games defensively. Anthony Davis is the same way.

Bradley Beal has the offensive game to dominate and the basketball IQ to hurt and exploit opponents by whatever methods are necessary.

Unless Bargnani and/or DeRozan are traded, I don’t like Barnes as a fit on the Raptors.

 

Bulls at Raptors Points Per Game:

- March 22nd, 2012

Short and sweet today:

- Andrea Bargnani is taking a long time to get back into form after his long layoff. The Raptors publicly say they aren’t concerned, but Bargnani admits he is playing poorly. Expecting him to return to his career-best level from earlier this season is asking a lot, but once he gets his timing back he should at least be a lot better than he has shown.

- The Bulls are a heck of a team. That’s what depth can do for you. Taj Gibson is one of the best reserves in the league and Omer Asik bring great defence off of the bench. When John Lucas III and Kyle Korver go off like that, it helps make up for the absence of Derrick Rose. Once Rose is healthy, they will be very good. Perhaps even good enough to give Miami a scare.

- Amir Johnson was one of the better Raptors but didn’t see a ton of action. Guess Dwane Casey wanted to go with bigger players, but I thought he was very effective at both ends.

- The loss of Jerryd Bayless really hurt the Raptors. Jose Calderon had one of his worst games of the season on offence, and also looked poor at times defensively.

Raptors at Knicks Points Per Game:

- March 20th, 2012

Not a good enough effort and a Jerryd Bayless injury (hip pointer) = a bad night for the Raptors.

- New York simply played harder, made more of an effort to corral rebounds and get to 50/50 balls. Raptors were crushed 46-30 on the boards.

- Going back to Jose Calderon as the starter was a gamble considering how well Jerryd Bayless was playing but they weren’t going to bench a player because he got injured. Predictably, Bayless wasn’t the same guy coming off of the bench.

- No word yet on the extent of his injury.

- 2-13 shooting from three isn’t going to cut it on most nights. Neither will 15 assists against 17 turnovers.

- New York is a high turnover team, yet committed only 12 against the Raptors, another sign that Toronto defence wasn’t up to snuff.

- No excuse for fading down the stretch in this one, not after a couple of days off.

- Chicago, one of the best teams in the league, will present another huge challenge on Wednesday, with or without Derrick Rose.

 

Raptors at Bobcats Points Per Game

- March 17th, 2012

Well, we all saw that one coming.

Just too much nonsense to expect the Raptors to come up with a win. The Bobcats might be terrible, but they’re still an NBA team.

Let’s see, the Raptors had an insane game in Memphis that went to overtime. Had their plane stopped while it was rolling down the runway for takeoff. Ended up eventually getting off the plane and heading to a new hotel in Memphis.

Finally left the next day, arriving at the arena in Charlotte (not even bothering to check into a hotel) three hours before tipoff. Their uniforms barely had time to be washed and were still wet and oh ya, the fire alarm was going off and we were told it was the real deal and we should evacuate. Halfway through evacuating, we were told to go back into the arena.

So it makes sense they were a bit discombobulated. Yet, they came out “like a house on fire,” according to Dwane Casey and only faded in the third quarter.

- The fatigue showed on the number of offensive fouls they committed, on normal turnovers and on more transition play.

- Sad to see how few fans the Bobcats draw. Remember, Charlotte was a top 3 team in terms of attendance and was first many years when the Hornets were in town. But George Shinn garnered a ton of ill will, the team eventually moved and Bob Johnson irritated people too it seems.

It all adds up to a disappointing turn of events. I know talking to former Hornet Jamaal Magloire about the old days, that even ex-players are saddened by the turn of events. Hopefully when the team gets good again the fans will return.

- A note on Bismack Biyombo:

BIYOMBO MAKES IMPRESSION

The Raptors considered moving down in the draft to grab Bismack Biyombo if Jonas Valanciunas was off the board but never had to make that call.

Biyombo has been worked in slowly by the Bobcats since he is extremely raw, but is averaging 1.9 blocks per game in just 18.5 minutes. He had seven rejections in Charlotte’s earlier win over Toronto – nine points and nine boards on Saturday – and had a game-saving block of Trevor Ariza last week.

“I love his tenaciousness. You can see the growth in his game since we had him (at a workout) last summer. He was really raw coming into

the draft. They’ve done a good job with him here developing,” Casey said. “He has it, whatever you call it, natural feel of blocking shots. To compound that he has a great motor. To me that’s an NBA skill. We have a young kid coming next year (Valanciunas) that has a quick motor, that’s something that all young players should take note of and that’s what Biyombo has.”

One crazy night in Memphis

- March 17th, 2012

Until tonight, the craziest game I’ve ever covered was the NCAA title game where Gordon Hayward rimmed out what would have sealed the biggest upset win in the history of sports. That one didn’t go in, so this one tops it.

My brain almost exploded, the gamer didn’t make the paper for first edition, the referees left having somehow pissed off both the home fans and the Raptors.

And oh ya, Rudy Gay hit another crazy shot against the Raptors, but this time, Toronto pulled out a win.

- Huge work from Jerryd Bayless. He’s defending better than ever this year and is playing some fine offensive basketball as well. Sure he had a boneheaded play, one of many by his at times clueless teammates, but this was a heck of an effort. They fought tooth and nail with one of the scrappiest teams in the league.

- Sure they had no business winning – Memphis missed 20 free throw attempts and is a much better team – but the bottom line is they did.

- The Raptors were all stunned in the locker room afterwards. None of them have been in a game like this, nobody would go on record, but they were perplexed by the horrific refereeing.

- Gary Forbes showed he is an NBA player. He is laying claim to Leandro Barbosa’s minutes.

Some quotes:

“Jerryd did a great job in timeouts and wouldn’t let anybody quit. As a coach, I didn’t have to say anything. I was really happy to see him take the bull by the horn and show leadership.”

“It was such a hard-fought game. The guys were passionate in timeouts and it was one of those games that if you were a fan you enjoyed watching.”

- Dwane Casey

“For them to come to our house and beat us like they did, Rudy hitting a big shot at our house, we just came here with fight in our heart. We had some confidence and weren’t scared. We went out there and played. We didn’t let anybody get in our way and we executed down the stretch.”

- James Johnson

Wolstat on the trade deadline

- March 15th, 2012

My quick take on every NBA trade deadline deal

Nene for JaVale McGee and Ronnie Turiaf-

- This was a shocker. Denver had to outfight a number of suitors in order to give Nene a monster extension this off-season. But the thinking is they felt they overspent on a guy who has some durability issues and were worried about having money left over to give Ty Lawson, arguably Denver’s best player, the money he deserves. Plus this opens up the room to re-sign Wilson Chandler. McGee is a great talent who acts a lot of the time like his brain doesn’t function properly. George Karl does well with guys like that. The Wizards badly needed to change the chemistry there and get a veteran leader who will help John Wall look a lot better. When healthy, Nene is a heck of a player.

Grade: Denver B-, Washington A-

Ramons Sessions and Christian Eyenga to Lakers, Luke Walton, Jason Kapono to Cleveland with a first-round pick in 2012:

- Exactly what the Lakers needed. Sessions isn’t an all-star, but he’s a steady, proven contributor and a big upgrade from Derek Fisher, who can’t play anymore. Eyenga is an athlete who hasn’t shown much. Sure they give up a pick in a great draft, but the Kobe window is rapidly closing and they needed a point guard now.

Grade: Lakers B, Cavaliers A

Leandro Barbosa to Pacers, second-round pick and cash to Raptors: I wrote a whole story about this one.

Grades: Pacers B+, Raptors B

Gerald Wallace to Nets for Memo Okur, Shawne Williams, first-round pick in 2012:

Nets desperately needed to do something after failing to get Dwight Howard. Don’t think this is enough to entice Deron Williams to stay and only putting top three protection is very bold. Sure the Nets will have a ton of cap space if Dwight and Deron don’t end up there, but who else is going to sign to prevent that pick from becoming a good one for the Blazers?

Grades: Blazers A, Nets C-.

Stephen Jackson to Spurs,Richard Jefferson and first-round pick to Golden State:

Warriors are trying to tank, Jefferson and Jackson are close to a wash at this point talent-wise, yet they get a pick. Spurs hoping Jackson can find his game again and help them win a ring as he did many years ago. Golden State takes on more salary.

Grades: Warriors B+, Spurs B

Derek Fisher and first-round pick 2012 to Rockets for Jordan Hill:

Hill has shown some real flashes and helps the paper thin Lakers. End of an era as Fisher leaves. Again, Lakers can’t hold onto firsts at this point unless they are high firsts, they are trying to win now.

Grades: Rockets C-, Lakers B+.

Sam Young to Sixers for rights to Ricky Sanchez:

Meh. Grades: Sixers A, Grizzlies F.

Nick Young to Clippers for Brian Cook, second round pick:

Clippers badly needed a scorer. Couldn’t get Ray Allen so Young was a nice fall-back.

Grades: Clippers B, Wizards B.

Also, Portland released Greg Oden and parted ways with coach Nate McMillan, signalling the end of an era.