When it comes to Trudeau, Canucks act like groupies
by Lorrie Goldstein
There are only two possible explanations for this week’s national Abacus Data poll which surveyed Canadians on the prospect of Justin Trudeau becoming federal Liberal leader.
The first is that Canadians can accurately be described as giddy school girls who would elect their hair brushes as prime minister, as long as they were named “Trudeau.”
Just pray they don’t elect Justin Bieber by mistake, because he shares the same first name.
Obviously my QMI colleague Warren Kinsella, the Prince Loki of Liberalism, intuitively understands this, which is why he’s been pushing a Trudeau candidacy.
Based on the Abacus poll of 1,008 adults from June 20-23, it’s not hard to see why.
Without Trudeau as their leader, the Liberals are road kill, stuck at 20% support with the Conservatives and NDP tied at 35% and fighting it out for first place.
With Trudeau as Liberal leader, the poll suggests, the Grits skyrocket to 32%, statistically tied with Stephen Harper’s Tories at 33%, while Thomas Mulcair’s NDP falls to third place at 24%.
The poll suggests with Trudeau as Liberal leader, women, Ontarians and baby boomers would flock to the Grits.
A staggering 28% of NDP supporters say they would switch to the Liberals. Even 9% of Tory supporters would do the same, although 10% of Liberals would vote for another party.
The poll shows Trudeau’s favourable/unfavourable rating is an impressive 50%-28% to the good, leaving his closest potential rival, Liberal MP Marc Garneau, in the dust at 33%-23%.
Among Liberals, 70% say they’re favourable to Trudeau, again crushing all potential leadership rivals.
This euphoria over Trudeau is amazing, given that most Canadians probably remember him best from his funeral oration for his father in 2000, long before he entered politics.
Gaffes one would think would have put a dent in Trudeau’s popularity by now have bounced off him.
Trudeau, bizarrely, objected to Immigration Canada rightly telling newcomers that Canadians consider honour killings and female circumcisions “barbaric,” which we do.
He threatened to support a separate Quebec if Harper continues as PM, while ranting about himself in the third person when challenged on that threat by journalists.
He called Peter Kent a “piece of s—” in the House of Commons.
On the other hand, Trudeau did lay an unexpected beating on Tory Sen. Patrick Brazeau in a boxing match for charity, which, according to some very giddy journalists, somehow qualifies him to be prime minister.
This suggests women, Ontarians and baby boomers aren’t the only ones infatuated with Trudeau.
That said, with numbers like these, Trudeau would be crazy not to run for Liberal leader, presuming he wants to be PM.
The only caveat is that the Abacus poll is a “beauty contest” survey, pitting someone who isn’t a party leader and hasn’t even announced an intention to run, against well-known politicians with actual political records (and baggage) like Harper and Mulcair.
This means people are projecting favourably onto Trudeau what they want in a leader, without knowing what Trudeau wants.
Plus, Trudeau hasn’t yet been put in the sights of the Tory and NDP attack machines, inevitable if he becomes Liberal leader.
Still, the poll clearly suggests Canadians’ love affair with the name “Trudeau,” at least east of the Manitoba border, is far from over.
Categories: Contributor Columns