Archive for the ‘Fantasy’ Category

The greatest fantasy loss of all-time? + Week 8 picks

- October 26th, 2012

Last week, in my fantasy football league with a group of my friends, we had the closest finish I’ve ever seen in fantasy ball.

Thanks to Matt Stafford, Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte playing on Monday night, “Armando”  seemingly squeaked out a win over “Rob Ford” by a mere .06 points, 111.94-111.88.

Tight eh? In case you don’t follow fantasy, that margin of victory is actually less than a rushing or receiving yard in difference.

Even worse for “Rob Ford,” that total of 111.88 was the second-highest total of week and would have beaten every other team in our league.

But then a funny thing happened. On Wednesday came a stat correction: Stafford’s total was corrected, adding two passing yards and taking away two rushing yards – a net of minus-0.12 points.

Final score: “Rob Ford” 111.88, “Armando” 111.82.

Yes, “Rob Ford” went from a 0.06 loser to a 0.06 winner. And just like that, a whole bunch of emails, texts and comments were fired off about the greatest, tightest game in fantasy NFL history.

Seen a tighter game in your fantasy league or a weirder gutting? Tell me about it in the comments section or tweet me @danbilicki. But now, on to this week’s picks.

The lines are from 5Dimes and the home teams are in ALL CAPS.

ST. LOUIS +7 over New England

The Rams defence should be able to at least keep it close and if worse comes to worst, the Pats will probably give up a late TD for the cover.

Indianapolis +3.5 over TENNESSEE

That extra half-point clinches it for me. I also see Chris Johnson returning to his terrible form.

GREEN BAY -16 over Jacksonville

With Maurice Jones-Drew out and Blaine Gabbert banged up, do you really think that the Jags will be able to manage a back-door cover? Me neither.

San Diego -2.5 over CLEVELAND

The only worry is that the Chargers are playing an early game. Other than that, San Diego should be good coming off the bye.

PHILADELPHIA -2.5 over Atlanta

Andy Reid’s record coming off of a bye has been well-documented and the Falcons run of luck should come an end.

Seattle +1 over DETROIT

The Seahawks have the big, physical corners that will match up well against Calvin Johnson.

Miami +1 over NEW YORK JETS

The Jets had to have the Dolphins miss a field goal in OT to get the win the last time these teams met. This time the Fins get the win.

CHICAGO -9 over Carolina

Cam Newton can only beat bad teams and this Bears squad is among the league’s best.

PITTSBURGH -4.5 over Washington

There has been a bit too much hype around RG3 this week, so he’ll merely be average in this tough game.

KANSAS CITY (pick) over Oakland

The Chiefs have had two weeks to prepare for Carson Palmer and Co. in this division rivalry game.

New York Giants -1 over DALLAS

The Cowboys lit up the Giants third-string defensive backs in their opening win. That’s not happening again.

New Orleans +7 over DENVER

It’s very easy to imagine the Broncos going down big and then coming back, but not covering. It’s their modus operandi.

San Francisco -7 over ARIZONA

Remember when we all thought that the Cardinals might be good enough to make the playoffs and perhaps challenge for the division? That’s not happening any more.

This week: 0-1
Last week: 8-3-2
This season: 46-55-5

Prep help for your NFL fantasy draft

- August 29th, 2012

If you’re in a NFL fantasy pool, chances are that your fantasy football draft is this week. After all, we are just a week away from the opening game to the season, when the defending champion New York Giants host the Dallas Cowboys.

So, in case you missed out on my five-part preview that ran in the Sun from Thursday-Monday last week, I’ve got the links to all the stories right here in one convenient post for you all.

The year of the QB and TE: http://www.torontosun.com/2012/08/23/fantasy-football-era-of-passing
The top 30 QBs: http://www.torontosun.com/2012/08/25/fantasy-football-rankings-top-30-qbs
The top 60 RBs: http://www.torontosun.com/2012/08/23/nfl-fantasy-running-backs-preview
The top 60 WRs: http://www.torontosun.com/2012/08/24/nfl-fantasy-wide-receivers-preview
The top 30 TEs: http://www.torontosun.com/2012/08/23/nfl-fantasy-tight-ends-preview

And just like last year, I’ll be writing up a weekly tips column for every Saturday Sun which will be posted online plus a recap of each Sunday’s studs and duds for the Monday edition.

Best of luck this season and, of course, you can follow me on Twitter @danbilicki

Colts were right to cut Manning loose

- March 7th, 2012

It’s the end of the Peyton Manning era. And shockingly, it’s not even a shock.

If you had even mentioned in passing the possibility of the Indianapolis Colts cutting Manning two years ago, you would have been laughed off of the Internet. No, it’s a stark reality that with the uncertainty of his health, his age and the fact that the Colts have a franchise quarterback virtually waiting on deck that it makes complete sense for the team to cut him.

In what world would it make sense to hand over $28 million to a man that might not even be physically able to do his job anymore? The only thing that was keeping Manning on the Colts was sentimentality.

Now, the reality is that this is Andrew Luck’s team. Like Manning did in 1998, the Stanford QB who has been the best college QB for two years will take over the Colts.

Aside: The amount that Luck will make in the first four years of his rookie deal will be less than Manning would have made with his bonus.

So now only questions remain: Where will Peyton go? Is he actually healthy enough to play? What kind of guaranteed money can he get in his contract? Or will it be mainly incentive-based? Will Reggie Wayne follow him?

With all those question marks abound, the only thing for certain is this: NFL free agency just got a lot more fun.

 

The 2011 fantasy NFL preview is here!

- August 25th, 2011

In case you all haven’t been checking out the Sun daily, we’ve started our annual NFL fantasy football preview written by yours truly.

Here’s the links from Day One (Preview and WRs): http://www.torontosun.com/2011/08/23/winds-of-change-hit-nfl-rosters

And Day Two (QBs and DEFs): http://www.torontosun.com/2011/08/24/fantasy-football-position-rankings-pt-2

Also, throughout the season, we’ll be running a weekly fantasy column both in print and online on Saturdays, plus a quick recap every Monday.

Look forward to hearing back from you throughout the season!

Follow me on Twitter @danbilicki

Football is back, baby!

- July 26th, 2011

I couldn’t have timed my return from vacation any better: After a week of hemming, hawing and delaying a couple votes to end the lockout, the NFL is finally back to work. But unlike yours truly, who had a splendid time in Costa Rica, the NFL has returned from exiling its employees and will come back to a summer schedule that will be frantic to say the least.

Let’s take a look at all the positives to come out this deal, not including the obvious one that, of course, football is back, baby!

There’s a rookie salary cap: I wrote last year that Sam Bradford would be the last of the big money rookies and I was right. No more massive bonus that can crush a team if their high draft choice busts. No more teams trading away high picks because they feel that they can’t afford to pay a certain player in that slot. This is one of the smartest and easiest moves the NFL could have made.

We get confirmation that Al Davis is still crazy: The owners voted 31-0 in approval of the new deal with Oakland abstaining from the vote citing financial reasons. Really, Al? Every other team – rich or poor – thinks this deal is a great one and you don’t? Maybe it’s time to retire and/or give up the Weekend at Bernie’s routine.

We get one week of absolutely crazy activity: Free agency, trades, cuts and training camps will all begin with the span of days, starting today. There will never be such a frenzied period of movement and team adjustment in any pro sport, ever. Just keep a sports website open and continually hit refresh during the day, something should always be going down.

Retired and injured players get more benefits: We’ve found out recently how much a football career can weigh on a player both physically and mentally. Concussions are leg injuries are serious things that can have lasting repercussions on a person’s well being. Now the men who have played this game for our entertainment get more help after their careers and a better health plan. Kudos everyone for making this happen.

The new CBA runs for ten years: That means a whole decade of labour peace with no chance of either side opting out and causing another lockout or strike. Even though this lockout didn’t really hurt fans the way the NHL’s did in 2004 or how the NBA’s current one will, it was terribly annoying to say the least. It was like a mosquito bite that just kept on itching, but you knew would go away eventually with no real harm done.

Fantasy football and football betting are back: These two things were billion dollar industries themselves and were put in jeopardy with the lockout. Now, we can start analyzing team’s records against the spread and start scouting out sleepers for our office pools.

Now, off to talk to the boss about my coming fantasy football spread

Follow me on Twitter @danbilicki